要闻 来源:国泰君安期货 时间:2022-11-24 16:02:19
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国泰君安期货点评:尿素盘面涨幅超过4%。全国备肥需求走强关键节点下,疫情防控所导致的供需错配为当前核心驱动。首先,由于近日现货快速拉涨,基差在短暂收敛之后再度拉开,高基差对盘面形成支撑。基本面而言,当前现货偏紧,核心堵点在于新疆大量货源由于疫情防控无法运输至省外。由于市场已经进入对复合肥阶段性旺季、政策性出口落地以及氮肥国储积极性走强的乐观预期兑现阶段,期现贴合较为紧密。待盘面与河南现货相平水之后,期现贸易商则会买现货抛盘面对价格形成压力。
(文章来源:国泰君安期货)
标签: 国泰君安
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